Piecing Together the Oslo Peace Process

Presenter and Advisor Information

Tyler Wilcox, Illinois Wesleyan University

Major

International and Global Studies

Second Major

Economics

Submission Type

Oral Presentation

Area of Study or Work

International Studies, Political Science

Faculty Advisor

Carmela Ferradáns

Location

CNS E104

Start Date

4-12-2025 8:30 AM

End Date

4-12-2025 9:30 AM

Abstract

The Oslo Peace Process (1993-2000), signaled to the international community that Israel and the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) were entering a new era of peace and diplomacy. It culminated in the Oslo II Accord, which would have transferred Israeli-occupied territory to a new Palestinian government. Yet by 2000, only a fraction of the land had been returned, further talks had failed, and the start of the 2nd Intifada in September 2000 would place the last nail in the coffin for the Oslo Accords. Using game theory, this paper seeks to model the negotiations between Israel and the PLO, taking into account, (1) the key players in the process, (2) the framework of the negotiations, and (3) the preferences of those involved which shaped the Oslo II Accord. Modeling these negotiations can give insight into why both sides came to the table, how topics for negotiation were decided, and how a deal was reached. Furthermore, it can serve as a starting point for examining the failures of the Oslo Accords. Increased Israeli preferences for national security outweighing preferences for disengagement, political constraints on negotiators, and the motivations of individual leaders all play a role in the Oslo Accords, failing in its implementation.

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Apr 12th, 8:30 AM Apr 12th, 9:30 AM

Piecing Together the Oslo Peace Process

CNS E104

The Oslo Peace Process (1993-2000), signaled to the international community that Israel and the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) were entering a new era of peace and diplomacy. It culminated in the Oslo II Accord, which would have transferred Israeli-occupied territory to a new Palestinian government. Yet by 2000, only a fraction of the land had been returned, further talks had failed, and the start of the 2nd Intifada in September 2000 would place the last nail in the coffin for the Oslo Accords. Using game theory, this paper seeks to model the negotiations between Israel and the PLO, taking into account, (1) the key players in the process, (2) the framework of the negotiations, and (3) the preferences of those involved which shaped the Oslo II Accord. Modeling these negotiations can give insight into why both sides came to the table, how topics for negotiation were decided, and how a deal was reached. Furthermore, it can serve as a starting point for examining the failures of the Oslo Accords. Increased Israeli preferences for national security outweighing preferences for disengagement, political constraints on negotiators, and the motivations of individual leaders all play a role in the Oslo Accords, failing in its implementation.